Time constant and people change of opinion is function of the topic or issue. Some issues people can change their minds relatively quickly, others may take long or longer time.
An example the notion that Hillary Clinton is not trust worthy whether, this is unfair or not has longer time constant to erase or dampen such notion.
For Trump being insulting person or unfriendly to blacks and Latinos have a long time constant.
So, depending on the time constant for different issues the effort to tackle them will be proportionally harder and consequently more efforts should be under taken or applied.
Time constant for different political and social issues can be found by polling the voters and over the general polulation.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2016
The Political Nail and Hammer Political Theory by Sherif Monem
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POLITICAL HAMMER AS I SEE IT IS STICKING YOUR OPPONENT WITH CHARGE AND REPEATING OVER AND OVER TO WEAKEN HIM OR HER.
SO INSTEAD OF ATTACKING YOUR OPPONENT WITH MANY BLOWS IN ALL DIRECTIONS THAT CONFUSE THE AUDIANCE AND THEY MAY FORGET ALL. THE POLITICAL HAMMER IS TO CHOOSE ONE MAIN POINT AND STICK IT TO YOUR OPPONENT.
IN THE CLINTON AND TRUMP FIRST DEBATE THERE WERE ATTACKS FROM EACH SIDE TO THE OTHER OPPONENT IN ALL DIFFERENT FIELDS SO YOU FORGET AT THE END WHAT THEY WERE.
ON THE OTHER ONE SIDE EMPHASIZE ONE MAIN POINT TO ATTACK AND STICK IT TO THE OPPONENT.
AS AN EXAMPLE HILLARY CLINTON MAY CHOOSE TRUMP PLAN OR GOAL TO DESTROY OBAMACARE THROUGH TAMPERING OR GETTING RID OF IT COMPLETELY AT THE EXPENSE OF HAVING 20 MILLIONS AMERICANS HAVE NO HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE.
TRUMP MAY PICK ONE CLINTON POSITION TO HAMMER HOPING TO CAUSE MOST DAMAGE. MAY BE THE COAL INDUSTRY AND LOSS OF JOBS BY MINERS ACCORDING TO CLINTON PLAN. MAY BE ANOTHER CLINTON NAIL THAT TRUMP WISH TO HAMMER.
EVERY DEBATE A NAIL SHOULD BE SELECTED THEN HAMMER IS APPLIED SO THE AUDIENCE WILL REMEMBER AND BE CONCERNED.
IT IS POSSIBLE TO HAVE TWO OR THREE NAILS TO HAMMER INSTEAD OF ONE. MORE THAN THREE WILL LOWER THE EFFECTIVENESS AND ADD TO CONFUSION.
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Tuesday, March 8, 2016
Minimum Wage Increase and Fixed Pension
As minimum wages increase the inflation goes higher and the people with fixed retirement pensions see the effective value of their pension deteriorates. This is a concern. My proposal is to increase the earned income tax adjustment rather than minimum wage increase. This will lessen the effect of rising inflation as the minimum wages increase.
Saturday, June 6, 2015
Saturday, May 2, 2015
The Political Systems and the Party Conflicts
Although the party system is accepted through out the countries of the world as the right system it has many drawbacks and flaws. An alternate better or modified one does not exist and this brings its acceptance.
The party system causes the goal is to win trough the election as the primary goal.
The members of the party allegiance to the party and survival depend on it so they may compromise their views.
The party system causes the goal is to win trough the election as the primary goal.
The members of the party allegiance to the party and survival depend on it so they may compromise their views.
Friday, January 3, 2014
Political Reflection Coefficients Actions and Responses
Sudden events create responses. How much the response will determine the reflection coefficient.
Some reflection coefficients are large and some are small.
Going to war will result in large reflection coefficient.
Examples:
Gulf of Tonkin ,,,, Vietnam Reflection coefficient 1% no opposition by public
Hitler war on Poland the Reflection coefficient is high
Iraq war Reflection coefficient high caualities in war ... lot of opposition
The Gulf of Tonkin Incident (or the USS Maddox Incident) is the name given to two separate confrontations involving North Vietnam and the United States in the waters of the Gulf of Tonkin. On August 2, 1964, the destroyer USS Maddox, while performing a signals intelligence patrol as part of DESOTO operations, engaged three North Vietnamese Navy torpedo boats of the 135th Torpedo Squadron.
A sea battle resulted, in which the Maddox expended over two hundred and eighty 3-inch and 5-inch shells, and in which four USN F-8 Crusader jet fighter bombers strafed the torpedo boats.
One US aircraft was damaged, one 14.5 mm round hit the destroyer, three North Vietnamese torpedo boats were damaged, and four North Vietnamese sailors were killed and six were wounded; there were no U.S. casualties.
Some reflection coefficients are large and some are small.
Going to war will result in large reflection coefficient.
Examples:
Gulf of Tonkin ,,,, Vietnam Reflection coefficient 1% no opposition by public
Hitler war on Poland the Reflection coefficient is high
Iraq war Reflection coefficient high caualities in war ... lot of opposition
The Gulf of Tonkin Incident (or the USS Maddox Incident) is the name given to two separate confrontations involving North Vietnam and the United States in the waters of the Gulf of Tonkin. On August 2, 1964, the destroyer USS Maddox, while performing a signals intelligence patrol as part of DESOTO operations, engaged three North Vietnamese Navy torpedo boats of the 135th Torpedo Squadron.
A sea battle resulted, in which the Maddox expended over two hundred and eighty 3-inch and 5-inch shells, and in which four USN F-8 Crusader jet fighter bombers strafed the torpedo boats.
One US aircraft was damaged, one 14.5 mm round hit the destroyer, three North Vietnamese torpedo boats were damaged, and four North Vietnamese sailors were killed and six were wounded; there were no U.S. casualties.
Friday, September 21, 2012
Good Successful Business Person does not Make Good President Precis
A presisedent of a country most important goal isto take care of all components and elements of the country of all demographcs regardless of profits. A good business man is driven by propfits including getting rid o fwoerkers or closing of plants or operations to achieve a general strategy pan. The human element is not a driven factor.
In society the week, the blind, the handicapped all should be taken care of.
A good business man with long successful track record may makeas well very bad president who is not fair to every demographic in society.
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The Wrong Résumé
By TIMOTHY EGANRomney has made business experience the main reason to elect him. Without his business past or his projections of business future, there is no there there. But history shows that time in the money trade is more often than not a prelude to a disastrous presidency. The less experience in business, the better the president.
In a scholarly ranking of great presidents, a 2009 survey conducted by C-Span,6 of the 10 best leaders lacked sufficient business experience to be president by Romney’s rumination. This list includes Ronald Reagan, the actor, union activist and corporate spokesman, and John F. Kennedy, the naval officer, writer and politician. There is one failed businessman on the list of great presidents, the haberdasher Harry S. Truman.
By contrast, two 20th century businessmen — George W. Bush, whose sweetheart deal with the Texas Rangers made him a multimillionaire, and Herbert Hoover, who came by his mining fortune honestly — were ranked among the worst presidents ever by the same historians. Bush left the country in a sea of debt and an economic crisis rivaled only by the one that engulfed Hoover.
Both George W. Bush and Romney are Harvard Business School graduates, further padding their business cred. Once they started governing, both men failed to improve the economic lives of those under them.
At Bain Capital, Romney as C.E.O. practiced a very Darwinian form of capitalism for 14 years; he points to his time there as a model for how he would turn around the American economy. But it’s clear that enriching a handful of shareholders often has very little to do with job creation. The point of private equity, after all, is to make deals that turn investments into profits — nothing more. In that realm, Romney has succeeded.
Once he moved from running Bain to running the Bay State, Romney was a failure at job creation. His state ranked 47th. Job growth nationwide, even under the sluggish economy of George W. Bush, was five times higher than it was in the Massachusetts run by Romney from 2003 to 2007. This was reflected in his approval ratings — 34 percent in the last full year of his term, making him one of the most unpopular governors in the country, ranked 48 out of 50.
The biggest job creator of modern times, Bill Clinton, wouldn’t know a spreadsheet from a cooked derivative. His business experience was nil, but he had governing smarts, and his instincts were usually right. Under Clinton’s watch, the United States added 23 million new jobs — this after he raised “job-killing” taxes on the rich.
Romney never mentions Clinton’s formula for prosperity, or that of Franklin Roosevelt, the other business-challenged president who took the American economy to new highs. Roosevelt had been through a traumatic life experience, the diagnosis of polio, that made him a man of resolve, with empathy for the average person.
“If you spent two years in bed trying to wiggle your toes, after that anything would seem easy,” said Roosevelt. When he ran for president in 1932, his theme was “the forgotten man.”
Romney has shown a strange tendency to fetishize wealth, from his belief that “corporations are people” to his boasting of how many Cadillacs his wife drives. His European role model would have to be Silvio Berlusconi, Italy’s richest man. A media tycoon, the Rupert Murdoch of his country, Berlusconi was laughably bad as a three-time prime minister.
The verdict is still out on Barack Obama, the community organizer, lawyer and writer. Because he got hit with the Bush hangover, his overall job numbers show a net loss of about 850,000, from January 2009 to the present. But if you start a year into his presidency, Obama has added almost four million jobs.
We aren’t electing a C.E.O. to occupy the White House. We’re looking for good judgment, broad life experience, flashes of wisdom. Still, for those who insist on making business the bottom line in who they pick, the past is indeed predictive.
http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/31/the-wrong-resume/
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